Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Turnover Margin Volatility & You(SC)

Football Outsiders recently looked at year-to-year points-off-turnover margins, concluding about what you would expect: extreme values in Season A revert toward the mean in Season B.

Of interest to Gamecock fans is that South Carolina finished 2008 ranked 100th nationally in Turnover Points Margin (-3.5). The Football Outsiders piece notes that values for last season's Turnover Points Margins weren't as extreme at the, er, extremes as they have been in past years. Nevertheless, with (hopefully) fewer turnovers this season and some bad luck swinging back in our favor, there's reason to hope we weren't as bad as we looked last season.